Well, that was a very interesting day. We certainly saw the new rules effect how teams went after talent, and on top of that, we saw some absolute steals mixed with some crazy reaches as well. I guess this is what makes the draft so fun — and so dang confusing — all at the same time.
Here are the picks that I thought were the best for each club on Tuesday, as well as the pick that head my scratching my soon to be bald head.
Have at it!
Best Value: Jake Barrett / RHP / Arizona State / 3.120 – Assuming they use him in a relief role — as they should — he’s a very good eighth inning arm who I thought should have gone in the first 100 picks.
Questionable Value: Jose Munoz / SS / Los Altos HS (CA) / 02.98 — Haven’t heard a lot about Munoz, but the people I trust tell me this was a few rounds too early.
Best Value: Alex Wood / LHP / Georgia / 02.85 — He scuffled a bit towards the end of the year, but I see a potential No.3 starter and a guy who I thought would go on day one.
Questionable Value: Brian De La Rosa / C / Olympic Heights HS (FL) / 03.116– De La Rosa is in my top 200, but this was a round too early, I have a lot of concerns about his ability to play everyday behind the plate with that size, and the bat doesn’t really play in the outfield.
Best Value: Branden Kline / RHP / Virginia / 2.66 — I was very surprised that Kline wasn’t taken on day one, and that was to the Orioles gain. His upside is as a mid-rotation starter, but he’s also got the potential and makeup to be a closer should Baltimore chose to go that route.
Questionable Value: Adrian Marin / SS / Gulliver Prep (FL) / 03.99 — I didn’t hate this pick, but I Marin was not in my final top 100, so this is the one that I questioned the most.
Boston Red Sox
Best Value: Ty Buttrey / RHP /Providence HS (NC) / 05.151 — It’s going to take a lot of work and some financial wizardry to get him to sign, but if he does, he is an absolute steal in round five.
Questionable Value: Jamie Callahan / RHP / Dillon HS (SC) /02.87 — There’s some projection in his right arm, but he was more of a third or fourth round talent for me.
Best Value: Duane Underwood / RHP / Pope HS (TX / 02.67 — The Taijuan Walker comparisons are asinine and not fair, but he is an athletic kid with plenty of upside, who many thought would go in round one.
Questionable Value: Josh Conway / RHP / Coastal Carolina / 04.134 — I wasn’t a huge big Conway proponent before the Tommy John, with it I think he’s far too risky with too little reward to take in the first 150 picks.
Chicago White Sox
Best Value: Chris Beck / RHP / Georgia Southern / 02.76 — Beck was thought of as a potential first-round guy coming into the year. He’s no longer that top of the rotation arm, but he’s got good enough stuff to be a potential No.3, and could have gone as high as the sandwich round.
Questionable Value: Joey DeMichele / 2B / Arizona State / 3.108 — The bat plays well only at second base, and he can’t play second base professionally, not a fan of taking utility guys in the third round.
Best Value: Tanner Rahier / SS / Palm Desert HS (CA) / 02.78 — Another guy that I thought was a lock to go in the first sixty picks. The Reds should be able to sign him, and if he can stick at shortstop, he’s a steal in the second-round.
Questionable Value: Joseph Hudson / C / Notre Dame / 06.202 — Not a horrific reach, but wasn’t on my list of the best 250 players. Defensive backup at best.
Best Value: Mitch Brown / RHP / Rochester Century HS (MN) / 02.78 — I have to say, after hating their first-round pick last night, that the Indians were absolutely outstanding today, and there were a lot of candidates for this pick. The winner is Brown though, who many thought was a lock to the Twins at some point Monday, and has an advanced feel for pitching that should move quickly.
Questionable Value: Joseph Wendle / 2B /Westchester University / 06.203 — The definition of a senior signing.
Best Value: Tom Murphy / C / Buffalo / 03.105 — Should be able to catch and be average offensively behind the plate.
Questionable Value: Max White / OF / Williston HS (FL) / 02.73 — Clearly a signing pick, as evident by how quickly he told people he was not going to the University of Florida. I’m not saying White isn’t talented, but he’s not top 75 talent, or close.
Best Value: Hudson Randall / RHP / Florida / 07.244 — He’s nothing more than a back-end starter, but hes likely to hit his ceiling thanks to plus-plus control.
Questionable Value: Drew Verhagen / RHP / Vanderbilt / 05.154 — Projects to be a reliever, and not a particularly good one since he only has one above-average pitch.
Best Value: Rio Ruiz / 3B / Bishop Amat HS (CA) / 04.129 — My guess is that Ruiz ends up in college, but if they can find a way to get him done, one of the best picks of the fourth round. (Note: Hunter Virant doesn’t count, there’s no way they sign him without losing out of the other picks in the top ten.)
Questionable Value: Andrew Aplin / OF / Arizona State / 05.159 — I don’t think he can hit enough to be anything more than a forth outfielder.
Kansas City Royals
Best Value: Kenny Diekroeger / 2B / Stanford / 04.133 — He gets picked on a lot, but he still was a top fifty player for me, and if they can fix his swing that was ruined at Stanford, he’s a starting second-baseman.
Questionable Value: Sam Selman / LHP / Vanderbilt / 02.66 — The command is awful, and the inconsistent secondary offerings make him a reliever to me.
Los Angeles Angels
Best Value: Alex Yarbrough / 2B/ Ole Miss / 04.147 — A solid contact hitter who will draw walks and should get on-base enough to be an average second-baseman. You could do worst in the fourth-round
Questionable Value: R.J. Alvarez / RHP / Florida Atlantic 03.114 — Went a round too early for me, don’t think he can close, the “bulldog” mentality everyone raves about is nice, but the stuff is more second best reliever on a club.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Best Value: Stephen Rodriguez / LHP / Florida / 03.82 — Not the sexiest pick, but should fast track to the big leagues and dominate left-handed hitters with his slider and release point.
Questionable Value: Justin Chigbobu / 1B / Raytown South HS (MS) / 05.146 — One of several one-tool first-baseman that went too early today.
Best Value: Austin Dean / OF /Klein Collins HS (TX) / 04.137 — If Dean can’t play in the outfield, than this will be a mistake. If he can, than the bat plays well, with plenty of pop and bat speed.
Questionable Value: Austin Nola / SS / LSU / 05.167 — Was surprised he went today at all, nothing more than a utility infielder, and not a guarantee he can even be that.
Best Value: Damien Magnifico / RHP / Oklahoma / 05.182 — Ok, he only throws one pitch right now. That one pitch hits triple digits. If the slider develops at all, he’s a future closer and a steal in the fifth round.
Questionable Value: Tyrone Taylor / OF / Torrence HS (CA) / 02.92 — There’s no denying the athleticism, but he’s a long way away from becoming a baseball player, and that’s a big risk to take with a guy you’re taking in the second round.
Best Value: J.T. Chargois / RHP / Rice / 02.72 — I like what the Twins did today, but I really liked the Chargois pick. He might have the best slider in the draft, and the fastball is above-average as well.
Questionable Value: Zach Jones / RHP / San Jose State / 04.130 — Can’t say I’m real familiar with Jones, but a west-coast scout I talked to said he was more of a late-round pick for him.
New York Mets
Best Value: Matt Koch / RHP / Louisville / 03.107 — Noticing a lot of relievers in the best value list? Ya, it’s unfortunate, but that’s where the value in this class was. I thought Koch would be gone by at least round-two, and was a nice coupe for the Mets.
Questionable Value: Matt Reynolds / 3B / Arkansas 02.71 — A very good third-basemen, but the bat doesn’t play there, I think he went two rounds too early
New York Yankees
Best Value: Austin Aune / CF / Argyle HS (TX) / 02.89 — In the past, the Yankees have taken guys like Aune in the first-round, and it’s backfired on them. In the second round, Aune’s a much “safer” commodity to acquire, and if the tools develop, he’s a potential steal.
Worst Value: Nathan Mikolas / OF / Bradford HS (WI) / 03.124 — Not a guy that I would have taken in the first five rounds.
Best Value: Kyle Twomey / LHP / El Dorado HS (CA) / 03.106 — I am a fan of Twomey’s, I think he’s got a ton of projection, and he the change up is already a very good pitch. Potential steal in the third if he can add a tick or two to the fastball.
Questionable Value: Bruce Maxwell / C / Birmingham Southern College / 02.62 — Well, this certainly was a surprising pick. Huge numbers at Birmingham Southern, but I hadn’t heard his name anywhere close to the top 100. In fact, I hadn’t really heard his name.
Best Value: Alec Rash / RHP / A.D.M HS (IA) / 02.95 — Rash just missed qualifying for my top 50, but he’s a solid pick in the late second-round.
Questionable Value: Dylan Cozens / OF /Chaparral HS (AZ) / 02.77 — The only reason I knew Cozens name is because I’m a football nerd who follows college recruiting, and Cozens was a fairly highly recruited defensive end. I heard nothing about him being a potential day two pick in the draft, much less round two.
Best Value: Brandon Thomas / OF / Georgia Tech / 05.136 — A switch-hitting outfielder with average tools across the board and the ability to play center-field? Pretty solid for the fifth round.
Questionable Value: Jonathan Sandfort / RHP / Winter Springs HS (FL) — Sandfort wasn’t a top 150 talent on my board, and reports are that he won’t be an easy signing. That could equal bad news.
San Diego Padres
Best Value: Fernando Perez / 3B / Central Arizona College / 03.102 — He’s not a shortstop, but he should be a solid third-baseman with average offensive tools across the board.
Questionable Value: Jeremy Baltz / OF / St. Johns — After killing it yesterday, the Padres had plenty of iffy picks today, and this was the iffiest, don’t see Baltz as an everyday player.
San Francisco Giants
Best Value: Martin Agosta / RHP / St. Mary’s / 02.84 — Agosta was the Anthony Meo of this year’s class, a solid arm who had just enough questions to last into day two. He didn’t last long, and he shouldn’t have been around at all.
Questionable Value: Mac Williamson / OF / Wake Forest 03.115 — Has the size and strength to be a big time home-run hitter, but the hit tool lags well behind.
Best Value: Tyler Pike / LHP / Winter Haven HS (FL) / 03.126 — Pike was a name with a lot of helium as draft day came closer and closer, and the Mariners did well to land the left-hander in the bottom of the third round.
Questionable Value: Joe DeCarlo / SS / Garnet Valley HS (PA) / 02.64 — I don’t hate the pick, but there were better players on the board than DeCarlo.
St. Louis Cardinals
Best Value: Carson Kelly / 3B / Westview HS (OR) — This will be a very difficult signing — especially if it’s true that the Cardinals took him as a pitcher — but at pick 86, Kelly is an absolute gem of a pick.
Questionable Value: Alejandro Mejia / SS / Arizona / 04.150 — At best a utility infielder, Mejia’s bat is no where near good enough to play everyday.
Tampa Bay Rays
Best Value: Luke Maile / C / Kentucky / 08.272 — If I thought Maile could catch, I’d be really excited about this pick. Of course, if I thought Maile could catch, he wouldn’t have been around in the eight round. I think the bat plays at first-base, however, at least enough to deserve a fifth round pick.
Questionable Value: Andrew Toles / OF / Chipola College / 03.119 — Decent athlete, but probably went about three rounds too early.
Best Value: Jamie Jarmon / OF / Indian River HS (DE) / 03.83 — The Rangers loaded up on athletes, and this was one of the better ones in the draft, although every tool but speed is extremely raw.
Questionable Value: Patrick Cantwell / C / Stony Brook / 03.123 — The offensive numbers are inflated by the conference and park, and is only average behind the plate, didn’t have him in my top 200
Toronto Blue Jays
Best Value: Chase DeJong / RHP / Woodrow Wilson HS / 03.81 If the Blue Jays can somehow convince Alford to play baseball instead of quarterback for Southern Miss, that’s a gigantic steal, but DeJong was just missed my top fifty and was great value, too.
Questionable Value: Tucker Donahue / RHP / Stetson / 04.145 — Never mind, this is the definition of a senior sign.
Best Value: Brett Mooneyham / LHP / Stanford / 03.111 — Not a huge swindling or anything, but solid value in the third-round, especially if he can stay healthy/be more consistent.
Questionable Value: Brandon Miller / OF / Samford / 04.144 — Big numbers against inferior competition and in a hitter paradise, Miller is not a top 150 talent.