The Mock

Updated March 30, 2014

 

No. 01: Houston Astros
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Brady Aiken LHP Cathedral Catholic HS (San Diego) $7.7904M
An awful long way to go still, but Aiken is the best player on my board, and I believe the Astros feel that way right now as well. Carlos Rodon obviously is still a consideration, as are a few other guys. For now though, Aiken is the pick.

 

No. 02: Miami Marlins
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Carlos Rodon LHP N.C. State $6.7084M
I believe that the Marlins would have a very difficult choice on their hands if Rodon and Tyler Kolek were both on the board, as I’ve been told they’re quite a fan of the latter, but I go Rodon by a small margin.

 

No. 03: Chicago White Sox
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Tyler Beede RHP Vanderbilt $5.6264M
Kolek is the higher ranked prospect, but I think the White Sox would go with Beede, as they haven’t taken a prep pitcher with their first pick in quite some time. I also think they’d consider Alex Jackson at this point as well.

 

No. 04: Chicago Cubs
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Tyler Kolek RHP Shepherd (Tex.) HS $4.5444M
If Rodon or Beede is here, I think he’s the pick; as I think the Cubs would prefer to go with a collegiate arm. That being said, Kolek would be the best player left on my board, and I don’t think he’s going to take a ton of minor-league seasoning. 

 

No. 05: Minnesota Twins
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Alex Jackson C Rancho Bernardo (San Diego) HS $3.787M
I know Minnesota fans would prefer to see the Twins take a college pitcher — and I think that they’d absolutely consider Tyler Beede if he were there and Jeff Hoffman if the draft were to play out like this — but I think the best prep hitter in the class would be very appealing at this point in the draft as well.

 

No. 06: Seattle Mariners
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Jeff Hoffman RHP East Carolina $3.516M
Hoffman hasn’t been nearly as dominant this year as he was over the summer, but it’s still tough for me to see him falling out of the top ten and with the Mariners lacking quality arms at the higher levels Hoffman is a fit in that regard, too.

 

No. 07: Philadelphia Phillies
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Grant Holmes RHP Conway HS (S.C.) $3.264M
Many scouts that I’ve talked to believe that it’s Holmes — not Kolek — that is the best prep right-hander in the class, and though his upside is limited, he should rise quickly with a fastball that touches 98 and two above-average  to plus secondary offerings. 

 

No. 08: Colorado Rockies
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Bradley Zimmer OF San Francisco $3.1378M
Zimmer is the best all-around collegiate bat in the entire class, and while he’s not a lock to stick in centerfield, it looks like the bat will play at whatever outfield position he ends up at.

 

No. 09: Toronto Blue Jays
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Nick Gordon SS Olympia HS (Fla.) $3.0296M
Gordon has clearly separated himself as the best shortstop in the class, showing sneaky offensive ability from the left side and plus defensive chops in the field. 

 

No. 10: New York Mets
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Trea Turner SS N.C. State 2.9214M
Turner hasn’t been nearly as good this year as he was over his freshman and sophomore campaign, but with plus-plus speed and a chance to stick at shortstop, I still think he goes somewhere in this vicinity.  

 

No. 11: Toronto Blue Jays
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Luke Weaver RHP Florida State $2.8403M
There are several pitchers with more upside than Weaver, but with the second of their two first-round selections the Blue Jays would do very well to acquire a right-hander who touches 97 and shows a plus change.  

 

No. 12: Milwaukee Brewers
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Sean Newcomb LHP Hartford $2.7590M
I think the Brewers would consider several different arms with this selection, including Aaron Nola and Luis Ortiz, but I think they’d prefer a collegiate arm with upside, and that’s what you get with Newcomb.

 

No. 13: San Diego Padres
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Luis Ortiz RHP Sanger HS (Calif.) $3.787M
In my first mock, I had Aiken going here. Yeah, that’s not gonna happen now. Ortiz is far from a consolation prize though, as a right-hander with advanced feel for pitching and two plus offerings.

 

No. 14: San Francisco Giants
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Michael Conforto OF/1B Oregon State $2.569M
I still think Conforto is closer to a bottom of the first-round talent than a top 15 guy, but there’s no denying his offensive ability, and he may have the best approach at the plate of any hitter in the class.

 

No. 15: Los Angeles Angels
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Kyle Schwarber C/1B Indiana $2.4345M
The Angels probably would prefer to go with a pitcher at this point, but let’s be honest; the Angels need help in their farm system pretty much everywhere but second-base.

 

No. 16: Arizona Diamondbacks
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Max Pentecost C Kennesaw State $2.299M
Pentecost started the season red hot but has battled some consistency issues since. I still think he’s the best catcher in this class (assuming Schwarber moves to first-base) and could be a fast advance with average to above-average tools across the board.

 

No. 17: Kansas City Royals
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Aaron Nola RHP LSU $2.164M
Nola will likely go higher than this, but the lack of upside — and the concerns over his arm-slot — could see him fall into this area. I can’t see him falling out of the top 20, however. 

 

No. 18: Washington Nationals
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Brandon Finnegan LHP TCU $2.109M
The last time the Nationals took a left-hander from TCU it didn’t work out so well (Matt Purke) but despite his size, Finnegan has a chance to start with three above-average pitches and advanced feel for pitching.

 

No. 19: Cincinnati Reds
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Cameron Varga RHP Cincinnati Hills Christian $2.055M
Varga has been outstanding over his first few starts this year, and this appears a match in heaven as the Reds love hard throwing right-handers as much as any organization in baseball. 

 

No. 20: Tampa Bay Rays
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Michael Gettys OF Gainesville High School (Ga.) $2.001M
Gettys might be the most “controversial” prospect in the draft, with some believing he’s one of the 2-3 best high-school players in the class, and others thinking he’s more of a late first-round talent. We’ll go somewhere in the middle.

 

No. 21: Cleveland Indians
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Matt Chapman 3B Cal-State Fullerton $1.974
Chapman has not been great this year, but he might be the best right-handed hitting college bat in the class (not that that’s saying much), and he’s going to be a quality defender at third.

 

No. 22: Los Angeles Dodgers
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Scott Blewett RHP Baker HS (N.Y.) $1.947M
Blewett has the size and stuff to be a solid mid-rotation starter, though he’ll need to significantly improve his command if he’s going to stay in a starting rotation.

 

No. 23: Detroit Tigers
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Erick Fedde RHP UNLV $1.92M
Fedde hasn’t been great over the past couple of months, but there’s considerable talent in his right-handed arm with two plus offerings and a chance for an above-average change. 

 

No. 24: Pittsburgh Pirates
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Alex Blandino 2B/3B Stanford $1.893M
The Pirates generally have gone for guys with higher upside than Blandino, but the right-handed hitting infielder would be solid value at this point and could become their everyday second-baseman in a relatively short amount of time. 

 

No. 25: Oakland Athletics
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Mac Marshall LHP Parkview HS (Ga.) $1.866M
Marshall was impressive during the NHSI this past weekend, showing an above-average fastball and curve and average change, and there’s still some projection in his left-arm. 

 

No. 26: Boston Red Sox
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Derek Fisher OF Virginia $1.812M
Even with the injury to his hamate, Fisher still is one of the more intriguing college bats in the class, and the Red Sox are the type of team that could ‘afford’ to take a risk on his talent.

 

No. 27: St. Louis Cardinals
Name Position School 2013 Slot
Michael Chavis 3B/RF Sprayberry HS (Ga.) $1.785
Chavis has been one of the best offensive prep players in the class, though his stock could drop because of his perceived lack of upside. The Cardinals seem to do very well with this type of player though.